The Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) is citing vital evidence, based upon a fresh downturn in the Weekly Leading Index (WLI), that the U.S. economy is on the verge of stalling out.
A stalling economy will undoubtedly increase financial stress at the family level in America. It will also pressure margins on small businesses. And it will increase demands on social welfare resources.
And it will inevitably lead to lower government tax revenue flows and an uptrend in deficit spending.
There is a powerful economic acceleration plan, waiting and ready for implementation – to revitalize the U.S. economy and get America up and moving again…
Bloomberg, Oct 6, 2017 – Excerpts:
Vital clues come from ECRI’s leading indexes. One of them is the publicly-available Weekly Leading Index, or WLI, whose growth rate is a reliable leading indicator of GRC downturns. In essence, if WLI growth enters a cyclical downturn, U.S. economic growth is likely to do the same.
Ominously, WLI growth turned down early this year and is now at a 79-week low. Such cyclical downturns have historically telegraphed GRC downturns. That shows very clearly that economic growth is about as good as it gets, and that a fresh growth slowdown may be on the way.
If so, corporate profit growth will also experience a corresponding cyclical downswing. In other words, it will fall further below its late 2016 peak, not ramp up from here.
Over time, we find that stock price corrections — big and small — have historically clustered around GRC downturns. In other words, the risk of corrections rises around economic slowdowns.
It is time for a new plan, with the power and dynamism to reignite economic growth, and put citizens back in control of the financial order of our country.
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