The Leviticus 25 Plan Generates $112.6 Billion Federal Budget Surpluses Annually (2025-2029). Part 4: Interest Expense Recapture, Totals Summary

The Leviticus 25 Plan – the most powerful economic acceleration plan in the world: economic scoring summary.

Interest expense recapture on projected deficits 2025-2029

Federal debt has increased from $22.1 trillion in 2020 to $34.0 trillion as of December, 2023. Federal debt held by the public is reported to be $27.783 trillion, with the remainder, $6.216 trillion of intra-governmental debt outstanding, which arises when one part of the government borrows from another.  This intra-governmental debt interest expense will be omitted from this calculation, since those dollars are not expensed directly.

U.S. monthly interest rate on interest-bearing debt 2018-2023

Published by Statista Research Department, Jan 8, 2024

As of December 2023, the United States government has a monthly interest rate of 3.11 percent on its debt, continuing an upward trend in interest rates that began at the beginning of 2022. In March of 2023, U.S. debt reached 31.46 trillion U.S. dollars.

Interest expense on the public debt during FY 2024 is currently being expensed at a monthly interest rate of 3.11%.  Projections estimate monthly rate will decline to an approximate average of  2.3% – 2.4% over the next 5-6 years.

This projection will assume an average monthly interest rate of 3.10% for 2024, and an average monthly interest rate of 2.75% in calculating the interest expense to be eliminated during the budget surplus years of 2025-2029.

This projection also assumes that annual federal budget deficits will be funded through Treasury Issuance at an average of 79.0% rate fir Debt Held by the Public.

Year     Annual Deficit/2 X %Debt Held by Public X Interest Rate

2024:  $1.571 trillion/2 X .79 X .0310 = $19.237 billion

2025:  $1.761 trillion/2 X .79 X .0280 = $19.477 billion

2026:  $1.718 trillion/2 X .79 X .0270 = $18.322 billion

2027:  $1.709 trillion/2 X .79 X .0260 = $17.551 billion

2028:  $1.934 trillion/2 X .79 X .0250 = $19.098 billion

2029:  $1.855 trillion/2 X .79 X .0240 = $17.585 billion

Recapture:  Total interest expense eliminated by projected operating surpluses: $92.033 billion

Source(s): https://www.statista.com/statistics/1382455/monthly-interest-rate-us-debt/

https://www.crfb.org/papers/qa-gross-debt-versus-debt-held-public

https://www.wsj.com/articles/debt-not-the-debt-limit-is-the-real-fiscal-crisis-ceiling-federal-reserve-spending-interest-expense-11674164556l

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The Leviticus 25 Plan Budget Surplus Summary

Totals – 2025-2029:

5-year projected deficit: $8.977 trillion

5-year projected recapture (subtotal):  $9.448 trillion

5-year projected interest expense savings: $92.033 billion

Budget surplus (projected) 2025-2029: $9.448 trillion – $8.977 trillion = $471 billion

Budget surplus (projected) 2025-2029 with interest expense savings: $471 billion + $92.033 billion:  $563.033 billion

Average annual budget surplus (projected) 2025-2029: $563.033 billion / 5 years; $112.6 billion per year

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Note 1:  Projected budget surpluses for 2025-2029 do not factor in the additional government tax revenue gains that would accrue from the massive shift in capital away from debt service and into productive economic activity.

Note 2:  Projected budget surpluses for 2025-2029 do not factor in the additional government tax revenue gains that would accrue from significantly lower levels of debt deduction on individual income tax filings. 

Note 3:  Projected budget surpluses from the Medicaid / CHIP recapture do not take into account the likelihood of fewer citizens actually qualifying for Medicaid / CHIP benefits.

Note 4The Plan’s funding of individual Medical Savings Accounts (MSAs) with the $6,000 deductible provision per year would result in an enormous drop in the number of claims each year for Medicare reimbursement. Medicare payroll taxes would generate a growing revenue stream, due to stronger economic growth, while outlays would drop significantly from the reduced claims numbers – thereby providing the Fed with a powerful tool to recapitalize the Medicare Trust Fund, via the Citizen’s Credit Facility.

The Leviticus 25 Plan – Projection limitations

There can be no question that The Leviticus 25 Plan would generate healthy, broad-based economic growth from broad-based debt reduction and improved financial stability at the family level, the restoration of free market dynamics in commerce, and scaling back social program work disincentives.

The Leviticus 25 Plan does not attempt to project how much additional tax revenue and reduced cost of government will be realized, above and beyond the Recapture Provisions, over the course of the initial five years of the plan.  In that sense, The Plan understates the effect of additional dynamic economic benefits.

Robust funding of Medical Savings Accounts and the elimination of millions of insurance claims and claims resolutions for basic primary care and everyday healthcare purchases swill save millions of man-hours of health care cost on an annual basis.  Scaling back government involvement in basic primary care and everyday healthcare purchases for millions of Americans will also generate massive cost savings. 

The Plan makes no attempt to project the positive effects of the streamlined, consumer-driven efficiencies that will emerge, and the cost reduction and improvement in services.   

The Plan therefore understates the benefits.

The Plan projects an 80 percent participation rate by U.S. citizens.  It is assumed that a large number of wealthy Americans will not participate, because their tax refunds are larger than the annual Plan benefits.  And it is assumed that a large number of Americans receiving significant government benefits for extraordinary health or economic issues will also not participate.

Cost savings from the reductions in massive social welfare spending and other programs, like unemployment insurance, workman’s compensation, SSI and SSDI can be difficult to quantity, since state and federal funding mechanisms may both be involved in various ways. In that regard, The Plan may understate, or it may overstate, the benefits.

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