The Market Ear
Thursday, Sep 24, 2026 – Excerpt:
Soc Gen’s July maturity profile shows 35% of US government debt due within one year and roughly 60% within four. Each maturity must be refinanced or repaid.
That does not mean 60% will be sold as new 10-year notes: much of the short debt can be rolled into new bills. It does mean changes in funding rates reach the US interest bill relatively quickly.
The average rate on the existing debt stock was about 3.1% in SocGen’s September comparison, against roughly 4.8% for comparable market funding. That gap does not hit the whole stock at once. It passes through as debt rolls over.
On a related note, the US may not have the biggest debt burden, but it has the fastest refinancing schedule.
Source: TME
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