The Leviticus 25 Plan Generates $619.5 Billion Federal Budget Surpluses Annually (2024-2028). Part 2: Federal Income Tax Recapture; Economic Security / Means-Tested Welfare Recapture.

The Leviticus 25 Plan 2022 will generate $619.5 billion budget surpluses during each of its first five years of activation.

3.  Federal Income Tax Recapture

The scoring model assumes that 80% of U.S. citizens will participate in The Leviticus 25 Plan.

Participants must give up their tax refunds through the Plan’s recapture provisions for the 5-year target period (2024-2028).

According to 2022 IRS Filing season statistics, through Dec 30, 2022: 110,567,000 total refunds were paid out for a total of $359.534 billion. 

Refund totals have increased by ~$44 billion over the past five years, from $303.761 billion (2018) to a current (estimated) $359.534 billion (2022), representing an average increase of $11.152 billion per year. 

A conservative estimated average of $10 billion per year (2024-2028) will be used for this recapture calculation.

2022: $359.5 billion

2023: $369.5 billion

2024: $379.5 billion

2025: $389.5 billion

2026: $399.5 billion

2027: $409.5 billion

2028: $419.5 billion

Total: $1.998 trillion

Total recapture X 80%:  $1.990 trillion X .8 = $1.598 trillion

Total recapture per annum (2024-2028): $1.598 / 5 = $319.6 billion

Source(s): https://www.irs.gov/newsroom/filing-season-statistics-for-week-ending-december-30-2022

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4.  Means-tested welfare / Economic Security Programs – Recapture

Participants in the Plan will forego Economic Security Program benefits and select means-tested welfare benefits for the period 2024-2028.

Economic security programs: About 11 percent (or $665 billion) of the federal budget in 2022 supports programs that provide aid (other than health insurance or Social Security benefits) to individuals and families facing hardship. Economic security programs include: the refundable portions of the Earned Income Tax Credit and Child Tax Credit, which assist low- and moderate-income working families; programs that provide cash payments to eligible individuals or households, including unemployment insurance and Supplemental Security Income for low-income people who are elderly or disabled; various forms of in-kind assistance for low-income people, including the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (formerly known as food stamps), school meals, low-income housing assistance, child care assistance, and help meeting home energy bills; and other programs such as those that aid abused or neglected children.1

Source:  https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/where-do-our-federal-tax-dollars-go

Assuming 2% growth / year

2022:  $665 billion

2023:  $665.0 billion + $13.3 billion = $678.3 billion

2024:  $678.3 billion + $13.566 billion    = $691.866 billion

2025:  $691.866 billion + $13.837 billion = $705.703 billion

2026:  $705.703 billion + $14.114 billion = $719.817 billion

2027:  $719.817 billion + $14.396 billion = $734.213 billion

2028:  $734.213 billion + $14.684 billion = $748.897 billion

Total economic security program outlays 2024-2028 = $3.6 trillion

Assuming 80% participation: $3.6 trillion x .8 = $2.88 trillion

Total:  Economic Security Program / select Means-tested Welfare recapture during the 5-year target period (2024-2028):  $2.88 trillion 

Source(s):  1. https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/where-do-our-federal-tax-dollars-go

Center for Budget and Policy Priorities (Updated July 2022):  https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/where0do-our-federal-tax-dollars-go

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